THE Bureau of Meteorology has warned Victorian residents to expect warmer-than-average conditions this summer in the release of its 2019/20 Summer Outlook.
The climate outlook shows a high likelihood of warmer than average days and nights for most of the country, while rainfall is likely to be below average for large parts of the nation's east.
Bureau head of long-range forecasts Dr Andrew Watkins said Australia's outlook was being influenced by one of the strongest positive Indian Ocean Dipole events on record.
This is due to cooler than average water pooling off Indonesia, which results in less rain-bearing weather systems, and warmer than average temperatures for large parts of the country.
“Victoria is looking drier than average and warmer in many parts as well,” Dr Watkins said.
“In terms of temperature, days are looking warmer than normal … in general we are looking at a warm and dry summer.
“This spring is looking to be one of the top five driest on record for Victoria.”
Dr Watkins said the outlook was an important reminder for communities to be alert to the potential severe weather risks over the coming months.
“We've already seen significant bushfire activity during spring, and the outlook for drier and warmer-than-average conditions will maintain that heightened risk over the coming months,” he said.
“This outlook also means the risk of heatwaves is increased, so it's important the community stays up to date with the latest information and advice from authorities and the bureau's heatwave forecasts and warnings.”
For more information on Australia's severe weather risks visit: bom.gov.au/knowyourweather